DANCE WITH THE DEVIL

There are those who believe that if enough sanctions are put upon Kim Jung Un and North Korea, they will bow to the pressure and either halt their nuclear missile program or even roll it back.  This is nonsense.  North Korea has stated repeatedly that they will never give up a program they believe insures their existence.  They have referenced Saddam Hussein and Muammar Gaddafi as examples of what happens to regimes that do not have a nuclear deterrent.

Yet, as clear as they have stated that fact, the West, and its supporters, still believes that sanctions may yet work.

The North will come to the negotiating table.  They will listen and agree to some terms.  They will promise anything.  In return, they will receive food and medical assistance for its people, allowing it to place more monies into their missile program and more time to develop the next generation of (hydrogen) bombs.

The West, and others, believes that sanctions alone can work.  After all, how can North Korea survive without oil and gas?  The only country that can stop the flow of energy to North Korea is China and China fears a North Korean implosion more than they fear the threat of a nuclear bomb.  China believes that if the Kim regime ends, 25 million North Koreas will flee their country for food and freedom and jibs and safety.  Further there will be an American ally at is border.

The North prints counterfeit money of a dozen different countries.  Bills so good, they are called super notes in America.  The North manufactures methamphetamine, ecstasy, opiods and other pharmacuetal and illegal drugs; the North sells nuclear technology to other nations.  The North can trade any one of these commodities for gas, oil, or other necessities.  The North can, and would, starve its own people in order to maintain its army and nuclear program.  Anyone not defending the country or involved in the science behind weapons systems is dispensable.

The North can make deals with drug cartels, rogue régimes and rebel groups to trade their oil and gas for the North’s counterfeit money, drugs, or nuclear technology.

What will happen is, there will be a mistake, a miscalculation.  One of the North’s test missiles will hit an inhabited area, killing dozens, hundreds, thousands.  Then what?  Is that a red line?  No?  How about a repeat, or an escalation of the events of 2010, when North Korea deliberately bombed an island in South Korea.  Following a South Korean artillery exercise in waters in the south, North Korean forces fired  170 artillery shells and rockets at Yeonpyeong Island, hitting both military and civilian targets. The shelling caused widespread damage on the island, killing 4 South Koreans and injuring 19.

On 26 March 2010, the Cheonan, a Pohang-class corvette of the Republic of Korea Navy, carrying 104 personnel, was sunk by a torpedo fired by a North Korean mini-sub off the country’s west coast near Baengnyeong Island in the Yellow Sea, killing 46 seamen.

The stakes will increase slowly, incrementally.  Keep pushing the west, but only enough to tighten sanction, not to invade.

While all these events can and will happen, the North will be perfecting its nuclear program.

The red line will be crossed at the best possible time for the North and the worst possible time for South Korea and its supporters.

If we allow the North to dictate the time and place of a confrontation, a conflagration, then it will truly be a disaster.

In the mean time, 40,000 prisoners a year are killed, starved, beaten, raped, tortured in their prison camps.

Under these circumstances, under these eventualities, what can be done?

  • Have mandatory air raid drills in South Korea
  • Distribute gas masks to the population
  • Issue medicine to alleviate the systems of a chemical attack.
  • Continue to put in place anti-missile systems

When these steps are completed, take out the leadership of North Korea.  If Kim Jung Un is killed, the generals will stand down.  They are pragmatic, sane.  They will see and understand the consequences of starting or continuing the war.

Several thousand people may die in South Korea.  Maybe more.  But whatever consequences come from our actions now, will be dwarfed by the consequences later if we allow the North to dictate the time and place of confrontation.

Due to the on-going atrocities in North Korea: genocide, crimes against humanity, the U.N. will unanimously sanction action against the hermit state.

 

 

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